Anonymized Cell Phone Location Data can Help Monitor COVID-19 Growth Rates

In March 2020, federal officials declared the COVID-19 outbreak a national emergency. Around the same time, most states implemented stay-at-home advisories - to different degrees and at different times. Publicly available cell phone location data - anonymized at the county-level - showed marked reductions in cell phone activity at the workplace and at retail locations, as well as increased activity in residential areas. However, it was not known whether these data correlate with the spread of COVID-19 in a given region.

In a new study published in JAMA Internal Medicine, researchers from Mount Auburn Hospital and the University of Pennsylvania analyzed anonymous, county-level cell phone location data, made publicly available via Google, and incidence of COVID-19 for more than 2,500 U.S. counties between January and May 2020. The researchers found that changes in cell phone activity in workplaces, transit stations, retail locations, and at places of residence were associated with COVID-19 incidence. The findings are among the first to demonstrate that cell phone location data can help public health officials better monitor adherence to stay-at-home advisories, as well as help identify areas at greatest risk for more rapid spread of COVID-19.

"This study demonstrates that anonymized cell phone location can help researchers and public health officials better predict the future trends in the COVID-19 pandemic," said corresponding author Shiv T. Sehra, MD, Director of the Internal Medicine Residency Program at Mount Auburn Hospital. "To our knowledge, our study is among the first to evaluate the association of cell phone activity with the rate of growth in new cases of COVID-19, while considering regional confounding factors."

Sehra and colleagues, including senior author Joshua F. Baker, MD, MSCE, of the University of Pennsylvania, incorporated publicly available cell phone location data and daily reported cases of COVID-19 per capita in majority of U.S. counties (made available by Johns Hopkins University), and adjusted the data for multiple county- and state- level characteristics including population density, obesity rates, state spending on health care, and many more. Next, the researchers looked at the change in cell phone use in six categories of places over time: workplace, retail locations, transit stations, grocery stores, parks and residences.

The location data showed marked reductions in cell phone activity in public places with an increase in activity in residences even before stay-at-home advisories were rolled out. The data also showed an increase in workplace and retail location activity as time passed after stay-at-home advisories were implemented, suggesting waning adherence to the orders over time, information that may potentially be useful at a public health level.

The study showed that urban counties with higher populations and a higher density of cases saw a larger relative decline in activity outside place of residence and a greater increase in residential activity. Higher activity at the workplace, in transit stations and retail locations was associated with a higher increase in COVID-19 cases 5, 10, and 15 days later. For example, at 15 days, counties with the highest percentage of reduction in retail location cell phone activity - reflecting greater adherence to stay-at-home advisories - demonstrated 45.5 percent lower rate of growth of new cases, compared to counties with a lesser decline in retail location activity.

"Some of the factors affecting cell phone activity are quite intuitive," said Sehra, who is also an Assistant Professor of Medicine at Harvard Medical School. "But our analysis helps demonstrate the use of anonymous county-level cell phone location data as a way to better understand future trends of the pandemic. Also, we would like to stress that these results should not be used to predict the individual risk of disease at any of these locations."

Sehra ST, George M, Wiebe DJ, Fundin S, Baker JF.
Cell Phone Activity in Categories of Places and Associations With Growth in Cases of COVID-19 in the US.
Intern Med. Published online August 31, 2020. doi: 10.1001/jamainternmed.2020.4288

Most Popular Now

73,000 Scientists Collaborate over New C…

More than 73,000 users collaborate on new online platform set up by the European Open Science Cloud Initiative, where scientists share COVID-19 data and accelerate our understanding of the virus...

Bayer and Informed Data Systems Inc. (On…

Bayer and Informed Data Systems Inc. (One Drop), a US-based digital health company, today announced that they have entered into an agreement to jointly develop digital health products for multiple...

ScanBalt Digital Forum 2020

4 September 2020, Germany. ScanBalt invites European cluster organisations to join the formulation of a joint declaration on the necessary next steps to create the Common European Health Data Space. Clusters...

C3-Cloud: the Digital Coordinated Care P…

Typically, when a patient is receiving care from GPs and Hospitals, these are normally uncoordinated and the patient is often presented with conflicting advice, or clinicians are required to assess...

Philips to Expand its Image-Guided Thera…

Royal Philips (NYSE: PHG, AEX: PHIA), a global leader in health technology, today announced that it has signed an agreement to acquire Intact Vascular, Inc., a U.S.-based developer of medical...

Philips Launches New Innovations to Help…

Royal Philips (NYSE: PHG, AEX: PHIA), a global leader in health technology, today presented new approaches to health and healthcare, and the shift to health-at-home, at its virtual consumer health...

Innovation Improves Care Delivery Around…

Allscripts Healthcare Solutions (NASDAQ: MDRX) was recently awarded five separate patents over the course of just eight days, reflecting the company's commitment to delivering unique solutions to its clients and...

Alcidion Appointed to NHSX Clinical Comm…

NHSX has awarded smart health informatics provider Alcidion a place on the Clinical Communications Procurement Framework, a new procurement vehicle intended to help the NHS phase out pagers by the...

Contact Tracing Apps Unlikely to Contain…

Contract tracing apps used to reduce the spread of COVID-19 are unlikely to be effective without proper uptake and support from concurrent control measures, finds a new study by UCL...

Allscripts and Microsoft Extend Strategi…

Allscripts and Microsoft Corp. announced the extension of their long-standing strategic alliance to enable the expanded development and delivery of cloud-based health IT solutions. The five-year extension will support Allscripts...

Internet Searches for Anxiety Attacks Ta…

Many health experts are concerned that the COVID-19 pandemic could be having widespread effects on people's mental health, but assessing these concerns is difficult without data. "Traditional public health surveillance lacks...

Newly Merged CCG Expands Tech Support to…

Norfolk and Waveney Clinical Commissioning Group to support prescribers to improve the quality and safety of prescribing through deploying prescribing decision technology FDB OptimiseRx. A newly merged clinical commissioning group...